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EXPERIMENT - Tracking Top 10 Cryptos of 2018 - Month Thirty-Four - Down -74%
See the full blog post with all the tables here.
Month Thirty Four – Down 74%2018 Top Ten Summary for October
After an all-red September, it’s nice to see a bit of green this month. Thanks mainly to Bitcoin, the 2018 Top Ten Portfolio finished October with modest gains overall.
But, STOP THE PRESS, what is that!??! Green in the “Total % Change” column!?!? Yes indeed: for the first time in 34 monthly updates, I’m happy to announce that BTC ended October worth more than the price I paid for it on the 31st of December, 2017. Although only up +4% overall, it’s been a long road: this small 2018 Top Ten victory is to be celebrated.
Question of the month:
In October, this global payment service announced it will support cryptocurrency buying, selling, and shopping through its platform.A) Paypal
Scroll down for the answer.
Ranking and October Winners and LosersRank of 2018 Portfolio - 40% of cryptos are drop outs
Not much movement this month, a bit strange for the 2018 Top Ten Portfolio. Only three cryptos shifted positions in October: NEM’s Top Twenty hopes seem to be fading fast (it dropped from #22 to #24); XLM picked up one spot (#18 to #17); and, much to the relief of long time crypto-ers with a soft spot for the silver to BTC’s gold, Litecoin was able to stop its freefall, rebounding back into the Top Ten nicely, picking up four spots (#12 to #8). Welcome back LTC.
Drop outs: After thirty-four months of this experiment 40% of the cryptos that started 2018 in the Top Ten have dropped out. NEM, Dash, IOTA, and Stellar have been replaced by Binance Coin, Tether, LINK, and most recently, DOT.
October Winners – For the second month in a row, this month’s W goes to Bitcoin, up +25% for the month. Litecoin finishes the month in second place, up 17% and climbing back into the Top Ten.
October Losers – For the second month in a row, this month’s L goes to NEM, down -16%. IOTA finished down -11%, the second worst performer of the month.
For the overly competitive nerds, below is a tally of the winners of the first 34 months of the 2018 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiment. Bitcoin still has the most monthly wins (9) and Cardano in second place with 6 monthly wins. With another poor performance in October, NEM now has 8 monthly losses.
Every crypto has at least one monthly win and Bitcoin is unique as the only cryptocurrency that hasn’t lost a month yet since January 2018.
Ws and Ls - One coin to rule them all
Overall update – BTC far ahead and breaks even, ETH in distant second place. Dash in last place.So here we are: point break even. On the 31st of December, 2017, I bought $100 worth of BTC (0.008) at $13,170. Nearly three years later that same 0.008 is worth $13,665. Although only 4%, it’s a symbolic victory and one that’s been a long time coming. The initial investment of $100 thirty-three months ago is now worth about $83. A distant second place, Ethereum is down -45% since January 2018.
At this point in the 2018 Top Ten Experiment, Dash is at the bottom. It has lost -93%. The initial $100 invested in Dash 34 months ago is now worth $6.52.
The 2018 Portfolio welcomed LTC back Top Ten in October. September 2020 was the first time since I started the experiment back in January 2018 that Litecoin had fallen out of the Top Ten.
Total Market Cap for the entire cryptocurrency sector:Total market cap - back over the $400B mark for the first time in over 2.5 years
The crypto market gained about $50B in finished October over the psychologically important $400B mark, a level we haven’t seen since the end of April 2018.
Bitcoin dominance:BitDom - growing
After a few months of dipping, BitDom shot back up to 63.1% in October. A big move, but for context, it was up over 68% earlier in 2020.
For even more context: since the beginning of the experiment, the range of Bitcoin dominance has been quite wide: we saw a high of 70% BitDom in September 2019 and a low of 33% BitDom in February 2018.
Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2018:2018 Top Ten ROI
The 2018 Top Ten Portfolio gained about $25 bucks in October. Despite BTC breaking even, the portfolio overall is still struggling: if I cashed out today, the $1000 initial investment would return about $264, down -74% from January 2018.
Down -74% sounds bad (and it is), but the overall direction lately has been encouraging and a nice break from the negative eighties. Here’s a look at the ROI over the life of the experiment, month by month, for some context:
2018 Top Ten Monthly ROI - Red, red, red
The absolute bottom was -88% back in January 2019.
So the Top Ten Cryptos of 2018 are down -76%. What about the 2019 and 2020 Top Tens? Let’s take a look:
After a $3000 investment in the 2018, 2019, and 2020 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, my combined portfolios are worth $3,537 ($264+ $1,660 +$1,613).
That’s up about +18% for the three combined portfolios, compared to +11% last month.
Here’s a table to help visualize:
Combined 2018, 2019, 2020 ROI
That’s a +18% (actually +17.9%) gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st for three straight years.
But surely you’d do better if you went all in on one crypto, right?
Depends on your choice. Let’s take a look:
Three year club: BTC and ETH tied
Only five cryptos have started in the Top Ten for all three years: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, and LTC. Knowing what we know now, which one would have been best to go all in on?
As of this month, it’s basically a tie between BTC and ETH. Both are up +121%, (although BTC is technically $21 ahead of ETH).
So: with $3,000 USD, dropped in $1k chunks on January 1st three times in a row since New Year’s Day 2018, you would be up +121%, by going all in on either BTC or ETH.
The worst choice? At this point in the experiment, that would be XRP, down -32%.
Comparison to S&P 500:I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of the experiment to have a comparison point with other popular investments options. The S&P 500 Index continued its fall from an all time high in August. It ended October up +22% since January 2018.
Monthly S&P since January 2018
The initial $1k investment into crypto on January 1st, 2018 would have been worth about $1220 had it been redirected to the S&P.
But what if I took the same invest-$1,000-on-January-1st-of-each-year approach with the S&P 500 that I’ve been documenting through the Top Ten Crypto Experiments? Here are the numbers:
After three $1,000 investments into an S&P 500 index fund in January 2018, 2019, and 2020, my portfolio would be worth $3,530.
That is up +17.6% since January 2018. Compared to a +17.9% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios. You can compare against five individual coins (BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, and LTC) by using the table above if you want.
Gentlemen and lady (hello lady, I see you back there) we have a tie.
Well, not quite a tie, crypto is up .3% so crypto gets the win:
Three year S&P vs. Top Ten Crypto Experiments Combined ROI
That’s seven monthly victories for the S&P vs. three monthly victories for crypto. The largest gap so far was a 22% difference in favor of the S&P in June.
Conclusion:October saw a bit of divergence between crypto and the S&P: crypto up, S&P down. That separation is nice to see when it often seems that crypto moves in tandem with traditional markets. Two more months left in the year. What more will 2020 throw at us? And how will crypto and traditional markets respond?
Thanks for reading and for supporting the experiment. I hope you’ve found it helpful. I continue to be committed to seeing this process through and reporting along the way. Feel free to reach out with any questions and stay tuned for progress reports. Keep an eye out for my parallel projects where I repeat the experiment twice, purchasing another $1000 ($100 each) of two new sets of Top Ten cryptos as of January 1st, 2019 then again on January 1st, 2020.
And the Answer is…A) Paypal
Paypal announced in October that it will allow customers to buy, sell, and hold Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Customers will also be able to pay with crypto at 26 million merchants on its network starting in early 2021.
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Bitcoin Ethereum Ripple Bitcoin Cash Chainlink Binance Coin Litecoin Cardano Bitcoin SV EOS Monero Tron Stellar Lumens Crypto.com Coin Tezos UNUS SED LEO NEO NEM Cosmos Iota VeChain Dash THETA ZCash Ethereum Classic Maker Ontology Waves Dogecoin FTX Token Algorand Basic Attention Token HedgeTrade BitTorrent DigiByte 0x Ren Zilliqa Qtum Icon ... Binance Coin $ 26.14 1.37%. Chainlink $ 10.01 2.46%. Polkadot $ 3.99 1.53%. Litecoin $ 52.77 0.13%. USD Coin $ 1.00 0.28%. Alle Kurse. Unterschätzte Risiken PayPal akzeptiert Bitcoin: Warum jetzt sehr viel auf dem Spiel steht . Startseite; Aktuelle Artikel im Überblick; Insights; Kommentar; PayPal akzeptiert Bitcoin: Warum jetzt sehr viel auf dem Spiel steht . von Sven Wagenknecht. Am 30 ... PayPal akzeptiert Bitcoin: Warum jetzt sehr viel auf dem Spiel steht; Bitcoin-Gebühren in 13 Tagen um 628 Prozent gestiegen ; Abverkauf bei Ethereum, Iota und Ripple lässt Kursphantasien vorerst platzen; Jetzt handeln: Plus500. Schnelleinstieg für den Handel von Krypto CFDs. Kryptowährungen handeln bei einem der führenden Anbieter für Krypto CFDs. Bitcoin $ 13,787.75 0.47%. Ethereum ... Bitfinex is a trading platform for Bitcoin, Litecoin. It allows margin trading and margin funding. Users who sign up through us get a 10% fee discount for 1 month. SIGN UP: BitMEX claims to be ... @Bitcoin: Symbol: BTC / XBT: Algorithmus: SHA-256: Max. Anzahl: 21 Mio. BTCs: BITCOIN KAUFEN & TRADEN. Aktuelle Empfehlung . Bitcoin traden: Plus500: Bitcoin kaufen: BitPanda: Darauf wartet dein Postfach. Hole dir jetzt kostenfrei den krypto-trading.com Newsletter und erhalte regelmäßig Trading & Krypto Infos oder folge uns auf Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Instagram und Telegram. Mit dem ... While most cryptocurrencies on Binance are trading against Bitcoin, Binance offers many trading pairs against Ethreum, Ripple, and Tron. Trading against FIAT hadn’t been easier, as Binance offers plenty of trading pairs against the US-pegged stablecoins USDT, USDC, BUSD, TUSD, PAX, and more. Binance also offers to trade against some local FIAT coins such as the Russian Ruble and the Turkish ... Vea en directo el gráfico de Bitcoin/Dólar EEUU, siga los precios del BTCUSD en tiempo real y obtenga los precios históricos. Consulte el análisis técnico y las previsiones del Bitcoin. Binance uses 20 percent of its profits each quarter to buy and burn BNB tokens (just like a stock buy-back program). This reduction in BNB supply helps to increase the price by lowering supply. Discounted Trading Fees. The chief benefit of the BNB token, and one you wouldn’t get as a stock owner, is a discount to your trading fees on Binance ... Du kannst Bitcoin auch verkaufen. Das geht schnell und einfach innerhalb eines Tages. Die Bitcoin Überweisung ist auch anonym möglich. Als Nächstes musst Du den Betrag angeben. Gib die erwähnten 0,0000055 BTC an. Jede Summe, die sich darunter befindet, wird von den Teilnehmern Spam oder Staub genannt und einfach ignoriert. Um Bitcoin Cash mit PayPal zu erwerben, musst du dich erst auf einer Krypto-Trading-Plattform registrieren. Ich empfehle hierfür den Testsieger eToro. Ich empfehle hierfür den Testsieger eToro. Diese Plattform ist staatlich reguliert und besitzt eine Einlagensicherung, mit der dein investiertes Kapital geschützt ist.
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